Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.852611 0.986793 1.132040 1.300552 1.490258 1.696799 1.938251
2024-12-15 0.675702 0.866491 1.091138 1.373327 1.716311 2.117552 2.620160
2024-12-22 0.546473 0.765782 1.043218 1.415579 1.897304 2.494059 3.283036
2024-12-29 0.471506 0.713019 1.037705 1.498151 2.124945 2.937882 4.059466
2025-01-05 0.388814 0.631948 0.977971 1.494183 2.230036 3.224315 4.648551
2025-01-12 0.321755 0.559715 0.916825 1.474914 2.304284 3.466584 5.187486
2025-01-19 0.270732 0.502052 0.866779 1.461606 2.379534 3.708654 5.735056
2025-01-26 0.238204 0.468143 0.847167 1.489156 2.513162 4.038501 6.423404
2025-02-02 0.209321 0.435215 0.823819 1.506114 2.628718 4.345590 7.093099
2025-02-09 0.183654 0.403495 0.797681 1.514035 2.727902 4.630937 7.743181
2025-02-16 0.166068 0.383905 0.789581 1.550155 2.873413 4.994154 8.529530
2025-02-23 0.147747 0.359671 0.769691 1.562667 2.978734 5.297761 9.236532
2025-03-02 0.124277 0.321158 0.719084 1.516223 2.981939 5.440633 9.703662
2025-03-09 0.114088 0.309691 0.719382 1.563727 3.152957 5.870165 10.658732
2025-03-16 0.103696 0.295884 0.713119 1.597683 3.301525 6.269741 11.584467
2025-03-23 0.099039 0.294850 0.733007 1.684172 3.551778 6.855938 12.849926
2025-03-30 0.087302 0.274085 0.708036 1.677895 3.627330 7.141536 13.617880
2025-04-06 0.075989 0.252062 0.677206 1.655910 3.670102 7.369846 14.296031
2025-04-13 0.066656 0.233360 0.651232 1.640952 3.724182 7.619409 15.020318
2025-04-20 0.061119 0.224242 0.646532 1.671294 3.869808 8.042646 16.070046
2025-04-27 0.055521 0.213765 0.637115 1.689988 3.992509 8.428680 17.068753
2025-05-04 0.050034 0.202421 0.623979 1.698723 4.094676 8.780333 18.019040
2025-05-11 0.046511 0.196627 0.624325 1.738599 4.264454 9.268294 19.239111